https://kiskadeewatch.com/world/latin-america/lulas-lead-over-bolsonaro-narrows-ahead-of-brazil-vote-cnt-mda-poll-shows/

Contents

Save articles with supporter access More in World No apology but King Charles will not shy away from slavery issue during Caribbean tour, Buckingham Palace says Former US congressman sentenced to 10 years for secretly lobbying for Venezuela Trinidad: Massy eyes US$9.8M accounting loss from Caterpillar sale Brazil vote approaches with Lula and Bolsonaro polling in close race IMF looking to set up Venezuela office, says no programme requested Passengers overcame co-pilot who tried to crash flydubai flight, Netanyahu says Discussion

Latin America

Lula’s lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil vote, CNT/MDA poll shows

By
Staff Editor

Sat, October 3 2026, 1:25 PM GMT-4

Brazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) greets people during a campaign rally, one day before the general election, in Santa Barbara do Oeste, Brazil, October 3, 2026. REUTERS/Alexandre Meneghini

SAO PAULO, (Reuters) – Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro narrowed ahead of tomorrow’s first-round vote, a CNT/MDA ‌poll showed today, while also pointing to a tighter race in a likely runoff.

In a first-round scenario, Lula would receive 43.1% of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro (38%), Augusto Cury (3.2%), Ronaldo Caiado (3%) ⁠and Renan Santos (1.5%), according to the poll.

A September 15 poll had Lula at 40.5%, Bolsonaro at 30.4%, Cury at 6%, Caiado at 3% and Santos at 2.7%
Considering only projected valid votes, which exclude people telling the pollster they would leave their ballots blank or void somehow, Lula reached 47.8% voter support against Bolsonaro’s 42.1%
If ‌no ⁠candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the Sunday first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25
In a likely runoff, Lula would ⁠receive 47.3% of voter support, compared with 43.1% for the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, the poll said
In ⁠the previous survey, Lula led Senator Bolsonaro by 47.3% to 40% in the runoff
MDA surveyed 2,007 people ⁠from September 30 to October 2, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points

You reached the end of this article without encountering a paywall.

That is deliberate. We believe reliable journalism about Guyana should be available to everyone from the hinterland to the coast, including those who cannot afford to pay for it. But investigating, reporting and publishing every story takes time, energy and resources. Keeping our journalism open depends on the commitment of readers who can chip in and contribute to help cover the cost for everyone.

Please join the Kiskadee family by taking a subscription. Every contribution counts to our commitment to our journalists, to our readers, and to independent, public-interest journalism.

And please spread the word. One one dutty build dam!

Become a supporter